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Horse racing: 2022 Melbourne Cup at Flemington: Ultimate form guide – final discipline, odds, ideas, best form, best bets & More Trending News

Despite a moist forecast for the 2022 version of the Melbourne Cup, attendees will little doubt be partying onerous. Photo / Getty Images

Everything you must know to organise the workplace sweepstake, place an informal punt or just cheer on the Kiwi horses on this afternoon’s working of Australasia’s largest horse race: the Melbourne Cup.

Tuesday’s “race that stops the nation” will see 22 horses slug it out over a gruelling 3200m journey at Flemington, and with so many rivals it could possibly make for a frightening prospect to resolve which horses to again.

Luckily, we now have you in hand with the under guide to the sector and a few insider tips about find out how to impress your family and friends on race day.

Plus – The Alternative Commentary Collective can be working a “Punt-a-long” dwell occasion with the Boys Get Paid group from 3pm–6pm. They can be dwell betting on all of the afternoon’s races as a part of their construct as much as the Melbourne Cup.

The race is about to get underway at 5pm (NZT) on Tuesday, so set your timers, chill your drinks and prepared your self for the festivities to return.

First up, for these organising an workplace sweepstake: Click right here for a printable Melbourne Cup sweep. Note there was a late scratching this morning with Lunar Flare failing a late health take a look at.

Secondly, for many who don’t really feel like scrolling all the best way down, there are 4 Kiwi horses concerned (Stockman, Young Werther, Daqiansweet Junior and Smokin’ Romans) and the race favorite by a good margin is an Irish horse by the title of Deauville Legend.

For these wanting a deeper dive, learn on.

The golden gates of Flemington. Photo / Photosport
The golden gates of Flemington. Photo / Photosport

The climate

One of the largest speaking factors going into Tuesday’s nice race is the climate in Melbourne, with a moist race nearly definitely on the playing cards.

Showers, chilly and even hail is about to lash Flemington.

“There will be enough rain in the lead-up to the cold outbreak to make the track at least soft, possibly heavy,” Weatherzone meteorologist Brett Dutschke says.

“Similarly, the grassy expanses of the Flemington lawn could tend to mud in patches and swallow up high heels.”

Note although, that it could take quite a bit for the race to be postponed, with visibility and lightning the one causes the jockeys wouldn’t experience.

The discipline

1 – Gold Trip (Fr)

Draw – 14

Jockey – Mark Zahra

Weight – 57.5kg

Odds – $14

Form – 52x3x33529

6-yr-previous horse

Breeding Outstrip (GB) – Sarvana (Fr)

Trainers: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace

A slashing Cup trial when simply pipped within the Caulfield Cup, Gold Trip is a 5yo French import within the leviathan Ciaron Maher & David Eustace barn. Forget run in Cox Plate, the place he had no luck, he’s a really gifted complete whose prospects will solely enhance if there’s any rain within the air.

2 – Duais (Aus)

Draw – 10

Jockey – Hugh Bowman

Weight – 55.5

Odds – $26

Form – 96117×0688

5-yr-previous mare

Breeding Shamus Award (Aus) – Meerlust (Aus)

Trainer: Edward Cummings

An spectacular winner on this yr’s Australian Cup, and in addition a winner within the Tancred Stakes, Duais has taken time to recapture that form since resuming. The 5yo Australian-bred mare has lacked a kick in current efforts towards prime firm. Would want to enhance.

3 – Knights Order (Ire)

Draw – 24

Jockey – Tim Clark

Weight – 55.5

Odds – $16

Form – x3521x1343

8-yr-previous gelding

Breeding So You Think (NZ)-Lamanka Lass (USA)

Trainers: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

Ran nineteenth in final yr’s Cup, however in a lot better form this yr. A superb entrance runner who gained the 3200m Sydney Cup with a dominant show, this powerful as teak, Irish-bred gelding was collared late however fought again bravely for third towards many of those within the Caulfield Cup final begin. Big probability.

4 – Montefilia (Aus)

Draw – 11

Jockey – Jason Collett

Weight – 55.5

Odds – $10

Form – 4x718x434

5-yr-previous mare

Breeding Kermadec (NZ)-Bana Wu (GB)

Trainer: David Payne

NSW skilled Australian-bred mare is a former Spring Champion Stakes champion and put in a watch catching Cup costume rehearsal when she stayed on properly for fourth within the Caulfield Cup. Although she will be able to deal with a comfortable monitor, she struggled the earlier begin in very heavy going. Respect.

5 – Numerian (Ire)

Draw – 7

Jockey – Tommy Berry

Weight – 55.5

Odds – $51

Form – x60211x225

7-yr-previous gelding

Breeding Holy Roman Emperor (Ire) – Delicate

Charm (Ire) Trainer: Annabel Neasham

Didn’t lose too many followers with a detailed and dogged fifth within the Caulfield Cup, this Irish import is an on tempo runner with no stop in his physique. But he has by no means gone additional than 2400m and whether or not he can foot it with the fashionable Europeans down the lengthy Flemington straight is the massive query.

6 – Without A Fight (Ire)

Draw – 18

Jockey – William Buick

Weight – 55.5

Odds – $11

Form – 11x20311x2

6-yr-previous gelding

Breeding Teofilo (Ire) – Khor Sheed (GB)

Trainers: Simon & Ed Crisford

English skilled Irish bred stayer who not often runs a foul race, successful seven races, together with a formidable win within the Group 3 Silver Cup Stakes at York. Has abroad expertise, having run second in Dubai, and runs best when on tempo, or main. Very powerful and up for a struggle. One for the combos.

7 – Camorra (Ire)

Draw – 17

Jockey – Ben Melham

Weight – 55

Odds – $41

Form – 3217x551x8

6-yr-previous gelding horse mare

Breeding Zoffany (Ire) – Mauralakana (Fr)

Trainers: Ben & JD Hayes

Irish bred and skilled, Camorra earned his spot with a dour staying run to win within the Curragh Cup on floor over 2800m in June. He didn’t seem to deal with heavier floor on the identical course within the Irish St Leger in September, when he was properly crushed. One for higher odds on a tremendous day.

8 – Deauville Legend (Ire)

Draw – 9

Jockey – Kerrin McEvoy

Weight – 55

Odds – $3.50

Form – 4x2x12121x

4-yr-previous gelding

Breeding Sea The Stars (Ire) – Soho Rose (Ire)

Trainer: James Ferguson

Rising staying star, who has been completely ready for this by rising English coach James Ferguson, who prepares horses to race in Australia. Has, real velocity so as to add to his staying credentials the place he was a number one mild in an above-common 3YO crop and can be one in every of favourites.

9 – Stockman (NZ)

Draw – 2

Jockey – Sam Clipperton

Weight – 54

Odds – $26

Form – 0127×96441

6-yr-previous gelding

Breeding Tavistock (NZ) – Crimson (NZ)

Trainer: Joseph Pride

Kiwi-bred Stockman is in strong form and had a robust win final begin at Randwick over 2600m. Started favorite within the Sydney Cup over this distance however couldn’t stick with the tempo set by Knights Order, who’s prone to do the identical on this race. The tempo, and the space, are massive inquiries to reply.

10 – Vow And Declare (Aus)

Draw – 4

Jockey – Blake Shinn

Weight – 54

Odds – $26

Form – x8x00x5356

7-yr-previous gelding

Breeding Declaration Of War (USA) – Geblitzt

(Aus) Trainer: Danny O’Brien

Won this race as a 4YO in 2019, however was beset by again and tendon accidents earlier than he returned for this marketing campaign, pretty much as good, if not stronger than earlier than, based on his coach. Got into the race with a strong sixth within the Caulfield Cup, and now his Queensland connections can be hoping the rain stays away.

11 – Young Werther (NZ)

Draw – 21

Jockey – Damian Lane

Weight – 54

Odds – $31

Form – 32x528x430

5-yr-previous gelding

Breeding Tavistock (NZ)-Romantic Time (NZ)

Trainer: Danny O’Brien

Another New Zealand-bred, from a Cup-winning steady, however who simply battled within the Cox Plate, and hasn’t gained since his first begin, as a 3YO maiden, though he completed second within the Australian Derby and positioned twice in subsequent Group 1 Turnbull Stakes, two begins in the past. Has some assist.

12 – Hoo ya Mal (GB)

Draw – 15

Jockey – Craig Williams

Weight – 53.5

Odds – $14

Form – 312×322318

4-yr-previous horse

Breeding Territories (Ire) – Sensationally (GB)

Trainers: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

An unplaced effort within the oldest traditional of all of them, the St Leger (2916m) was the final begin for Hoo Ya Mal, who was additionally runner-up on this yr’s Epsom Derby. This elegant English raider from the Newmarket yard of George Boughey is vying to change into the twenty fourth 3YO (NHT) to win the Melbourne Cup.

13 – Serpentine (Ire)

Draw – 23

Jockey – John Allen

Weight – 53.5

Odds -$61

Form – x786x0x090

6-yr-previous gelding

Breeding Galileo (Ire) – Remember When (Ire)

Trainer: Robert Hickmott

Epsom Derby winner who was in that race as a pacemaker however was not caught, then gelded and bought to Lloyd Williams to race Down Under moderately than stand at stud. Earned his manner into the Cup the onerous manner by grabbing the final ticket on Saturday within the Lexus Archer Stakes, with a dour second.

14 – Daqiansweet Junior (NZ)

Draw – 13

Jockey – Daniel Moor

Weight – 53

Odds – $41

Form – 11213×070

5-yr-previous gelding

Breeding Sweet Orange (USA) – Paulette (NZ)

Trainer: Phillip Stokes

The fourth New Zealand stayer swooped to win the Adelaide Cup over two miles on a sluggish tempo within the Autumn earlier than working on late into third within the Sydney Cup when the tempo was a lot stronger, as it’s prone to be within the Cup. Will battle towards the category of this discipline and can be at exterior odds.

15 – Grand Promenade (GB)

Draw – 1

Jockey – Harry Coffey

Weight – 53

Odds – $81

Form – 2516x7x594

7-yr-previous gelding

Breeding Champs Elysees (GB) – Zacchera (GB)

Trainers: Ciaron Maher&David Eustace

An English import who has carried out all his racing in Australia within the leviathan Maher/Eustace, steady. His final win was within the Bart Cummings over a yr in the past, which punched his ticket into final yr’s race, the place he completed a tiring sixth. Form solely truthful since and can be at lengthy odds. One for the optimists.

16 – Arapaho (Fr)

Draw – 16

Jockey – Rachel King

Weight – 52.5

Odds – $61

Form – 2721712382

6-yr-previous gelding

Breeding Lope De Vega (Ire) – Alzubra (GB)

Trainer: Bjorn Baker

Won a listed race in France earlier than being exported to Australia at the tip of his 3YO profession to the care of ex-Kiwi Bjorn Baker. Very sincere horse, successful as soon as and putting thrice in his final 4 begins in good firm. Very one-paced and possibly lacks the real flip of foot to win this.

17 – Emissary (GB)

Draw – 3

Jockey – Patrick Moloney

Weight – 51.5

Odds – $31

Form – 53x35x1581

6-yr-previous gelding

Breeding Kingman (GB) – Soviet Moon (Ire)

Trainer: Michael Moroney

Deemed ok to race within the Epsom Derby, however bought to

Australia as a tradesman stayer in ex-pat Kiwi Mike Moroney’s barn, he has risen into this race with two slashing performances this spring, the final within the Geelong Cup final month. Has that velocity of foot from his former self to make him a bolter.

19 – Smokin’ Romans (NZ)

Draw – 16

Jockey – Jamie Kah

Weight – 51.5

Odds – $16

Form – 2219×92117

6-yr-previous gelding

Breeding Ghibellines (Aus) – Inferno (NZ)

Trainers: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace

Another Kiwi-bred and one in every of a robust hand within the race for Ciaron Maher & David Eustace, who has emerged as probably the most improved stayer in Australia, scooting away to win the $1,000,000 Turnbull Stks earlier within the Carnival. Ran into visitors issues in Caulfield Cup final begin. Definite probability.

20 – Tralee Rose (NZ)

Draw – 22

Jockey – Dean Yendall

Weight – 51.5

Odds – $81

Form – x33219x700

6-yr-previous mare

Breeding Tavistock (NZ)-Star Of Tralee (NZ)

Trainer: Symon Wilde

The third New Zealand-bred by Kiwi sire Tavistock within the race, this richly bred mare gained the 2021 Group 3 Geelong Cup, to get into final yr’s Cup the place she completed simply higher than midfield. A minor harm has been adopted by an extended interval of detached form since.

22 – High Emocean (NZ)

Draw – 8

Jockey – Teo Nugent

Weight – 50

Odds – $41

Form – 29x25x3416

6-yr-previous mare

Breeding Ocean Park (NZ) – High Joy (NZ)

Trainers: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace

Former Kiwi mare is one other from large Maher/Eustace barn who stormed into the sector with a robust win within the Bendigo Cup final week. A gear change labored the oracle two begins again in one other win, at this monitor, towards many of those. Won’t thoughts the moist with the 3200m journey, the one query.

23 – Interpretation (Ire)

Draw – 6

Jockey – Craig Newitt

Weight – 50

Odds – $41

Form – 11119×9000

5-yr-previous horse

Breeding Galileo (Ire) – Out Of Daldiyna (Fr)

Trainers: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace

Another properly-bred Irish import who gained the Listed Vinnie Roe Stakes (Listed) over 2800m, one in every of three staying wins within the Emerald Isle earlier than exported to Australia. Has proven a glimpse of form this spring however would nonetheless want a giant enchancment to win this. Will be at juicy odds.

24 – Realm Of Flowers

Draw – 5

Jockey – Damien Thornton

Weight – 50

Odds – $9

Form – 51x006x033

6-yr-previous mare

Breeding So You Think (NZ)-Astral Flower (GB)

Trainers: Anthony & Sam Freedman

Two strong-positioned runs this spring has been the primary present of form in 12 months. Won 4 as a 3YO together with the $400,000 The Andrew Ramsden, defeating Grand Promenade who she is going to meet once more right here. Snuck into the Cup with scratching on Friday. Hard to suggest in a discipline of this high quality.

Scratchings:

18 Lunar Flare was pulled from the race this morning presenting with lameness within the off fore and was not handed match. 21 Point Nepean withdrew yesterday after exams confirmed elevated blood outcomes.

2018 winner Cross Counter (GB) was paying $11 to win on race day. Photo / Photosport
2018 winner Cross Counter (GB) was paying $11 to win on race day. Photo / Photosport

Tips

NZME’s racing editor Michael Guerin lists Deauville Legend (8), Gold Trip (2), Without A Fight (6) and Realm Of Flowers (24) as his prime ideas.

Daily Telegraph racing journalist Rob Sutherland has listed his prime ideas for the race, additionally declaring Deauville Legend (8) deserving of its favourites tag. Next best is Knights Order (3), then Montefilia (4) and Duais (2) rounding out his prime 4.

News.com.au’s Punters Inside Run additionally has Deauville Legend as their prime tip, adopted by Knights Order, Without A Fight and Daqiansweet Junior within the combine for a prime 4 end.

James Lamb from Punters.com.au joins the refrain of Deauville Legend backers by having it at the highest of his rankings, adopted by Without A Fight, Hoo Ya Mal and Knights Order.

Professional “Armchair Punter” Stephen Brassel has introduced his prime 4 as: Deauville Legend, Without A Fight, Duais and Gold Trip whereas additionally stating that Montefilia is a horse able to rising to the highest of the heap.

Don’t overlook: The Alternative Commentary Collective can be working a “Punt-a-long” dwell occasion with the Boys Get Paid group from 3pm–6pm. They can be dwell betting on all of the afternoon’s races as a part of their construct as much as the massive race.

Best Bets

With an nearly unanimous race favorite at such brief odds, Deauville Legend at $3.50 looks like a foolish wager to make for outright victory. Instead, punters may discover success via combining the Irish stayer with the group of horses all vying for the minor placings in quinella or trifecta bets.

Rob Sutherland recommends the under technique for worth bets on the massive race.

Box trifecta: A six-horse field trifecta (the place you attempt to choose the primary three finishers and your runners might are available in any order) equals 120 combos, so $50 will get you 41.7 per cent of the dividend.

Selections: Duais (2), Knights Order (3), Montefilia (4), Deauville Legend (8). Then throw in some worth light-weight hopes in Lunar Flare (18) and Smokin’ Romans (19).

Standout trifecta: Where you set your prime picks to complete first, add some others for second and extra for third.

First: Duais (2), Knights Order (3), Montefilia (4), Deauville Legend (8)

Second: All above plus – Without A Fight (6), Hoo Ya Mal (12), Lunar Flare (18) and Smokin’ Romans (19)

Third: All above plus – Stockman (9), Vow And Declare (10) Daqiansweet Junior (14) and Realm Of Flowers (24)

That’s a whopping 280 combos. So your $50 will ‘only’ get you 18 per cent of the dividend however the Cup trifecta dividend is usually within the 1000’s, so it nonetheless has the prospect to be a pleasant gather.

Fast Facts

Melbourne Cup Barrier Statistics

Barrier 11 has been probably the most profitable stall, producing eight winners; most lately launching Americain to victory in 2010. Barrier 5 has gained the race on seven events.

Verry Elleegant’s successful barrier final yr was 15.

The final Melbourne Cup winner to salute from the skin barrier was Brew (2000).

Barrier 18 is the one gate by no means to provide a winner since boundaries had been first utilized in 1924 whereas barrier 7 has not tasted success since Blackwood gained the race in 1924 and barrier 12 is on a 73-yr run of outs since Foxami gained from that attract 1949.

Since 1982, 40 years in the past – boundaries 6, 7, 12, 18 and 24 haven’t produced a Melbourne Cup winner.

Melbourne Cup Saddlecloth Statistics

Number 4 is probably the most profitable Melbourne Cup saddlecloth boasting 12 wins after Verry Elleegant carried that quantity to victory final yr.

Number 12 has produced 11 winners, Makybe Diva the final in 2003 whereas Number 1 has 10 wins and Number 6 has gained the race 9 instances – Twilight Payment carried No. 6 to victory in 2020.

The unluckiest Melbourne Cup saddlecloth is No. 18 – final carried to victory by Peter Pan in 1932.

Melbourne Cup Winner Stats – Age

Four and 5-yr-previous horses have the best document within the Melbourne Cup. 4YOs have gained 46 instances and 5YOs have gained 44 instances.

Six-year-olds have carried out properly within the race in recent times successful three of the previous 9 renewals, together with final yr when Verry Elleegant gained the race.

Melbourne Cup Winner Stats – Sex

Stallions (entires) maintain the document with 72 wins within the race.

Geldings have gained the race on 54 events.

Just 14 mares in whole, 12 people, have gained the Melbourne Cup – Verry Elleegant was the final mare to win the race final yr whereas Makybe Diva is probably the most well-known, successful the race in 2003, 2004 and 2005.

Winning horse colors

The color bay is a transparent standout having produced 71 Melbourne Cup winners, nearly double the following best, brown with 38 winners together with Verry Elleegant final yr.

Chestnuts have gained 35 Melbourne Cups, greys have saluted six instances whereas black horses have claimed 5 victories.

The colour "Bay" means that the mane, tail, legs, ears and even muzzle are usually going to be black. Photo / Photosport
The color “Bay” signifies that the mane, tail, legs, ears and even muzzle are normally going to be black. Photo / Photosport

Melbourne Cup Weight Facts

Since the yr 2000, probably the most profitable Melbourne Cup successful weights have been 51 to 51.5kg, 52 to 52.5kg and 54 to 54.5kg. Each weight bracket has gained 4 Melbourne Cups since 2000.

55 to 55.5 and 56 to 56.5kg have gained three Melbourne Cups every since 2000.

Heaviest weight carried to victory since 2000 was Makybe Diva in 2005. She carried 58kg to victory that yr whereas Verry Elleegant gained the race final yr carrying 57kg.

The lightest weight carried to victory since 2000 was Brew in 2000. He carried 49kg.

Origin of Melbourne Cup winners since 2000

Since 2000, 14 of the Melbourne Cup winners have been bred to Northern Hemisphere time and eight are Southern Hemisphere bred.

Breaking the final 21 winners down additional – Five had been UK bred, 5 New Zealand bred, three Australian and three Irish bred and two US and two German bred. The different two winners had been French, and Japanese bred.

Thirteen of the previous 21 winners had been skilled in Australia, eight had been skilled within the Northern Hemisphere (4 in Ireland, two in France, one within the UK, Germany and Japan) and the opposite Melbourne Cup winner up to now 21 years was skilled in New Zealand.

Melbourne Cup Winning Colours

White is probably the most profitable Melbourne Cup color, within the silks of 74 successful jockeys.

Blue has been within the colors of 60 Melbourne Cup winners, narrowly forward of black with 57 wins.

Red has returned to the winner’s stall on 48 events, yellow or gold 45 instances, with inexperienced successful 23 Melbourne Cups.

Caulfield Cup – Melbourne Cup Double

Eleven Melbourne Cup winners gained the Caulfield Cup within the lead-up – the newest being Ethereal in 2001. Might and Power achieved the feat in 1997, Doriemus in 1995, Let’s Elope in 1991, Gurner’s Lane in 1982, Galilee in 1966 and Rising Fast in 1954.

Melbourne Cup Betting

Melbourne Cup favourites have gained 32 instances – Fiorente, a $7 probability in 2013, was the final favorite to salute for the punters.

Phar Lap was the shortes-priced favorite to win when $1.75 in 1930, adopted by Revenue ($2.75 in 1901) and Archer ($3 in 1862).

Only 4 $101 roughies have gained the Melbourne Cup – The Pearl in 1871, Wotan in 1936, Old Rowley in 1940 and Prince Of Penzance the newest in 2015.

The common successful worth since 2000 is $17.30.

The Melbourne Cup curse

The quantity 18 is one thing you don’t need close to your horse, saddlecloth, or barrier.

Barrier 18 has by no means produced a Melbourne Cup winner whereas the quantity 18 has solely been carried to victory as soon as, in 1932, 90 years in the past on the good Peter Pan.

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