Our basketball betting expert offers up his three best Lynx vs Mercury betting tips and predictions ahead of their huge WNBA clash this Friday.
Set-up: Lynx vs Mercury takes place on Friday night at Target Center in Minneapolis. Coming into this game, the Phoenix Mercury have the worst record in the WNBA, while the Minnesota Lynx are looking to extend their four-game winning streak.
Read below for our Lynx vs Mercury tips from the best WNBA betting sites.
Lynx vs Mercury Betting Tips
Under 164.5 points @ 10/11 at BetKing
Minnesota Lynx to win the first quarter @ 8/11 at BetKing
Minnesota Lynx to be winning at half-time and full-time @ 11/10 at BetKing
Low-Scoring Game Expected
The Lynx are seventh in offensive rating. The Mercury are down in 10th. While Minnesota has improved on the offensive end over the last five games, they have still hit the under in over half of their games in 2023.
Phoenix’s story is much the same. They play at the slowest pace in the Association, and they have gone under this number in three of their last four. Many of our WNBA tips looks at the points totals and this is no exception.
There was a total of 171 points when the teams clashed in May, but just 162 total points were scored in their July 1st matchup.
This game is unlikely to buck the season-long trend. It’s going to be played at a relatively slow place, resulting in a lower points total than some might expect with the porous Mercury defence. We like the value in the odds on the under even at 164.5.
Lynx vs Mercury Bet 1: Under 164.5 points @ 10/11 at BetKing
Lynx To Start Strong
Minnesota has the second-best first quarter net rating over the last five games, outscoring their opponents by 21.7 points per 100 possessions.
Phoenix has a -25.1 net rating over its last five first quarters, including losing the first quarter by three points to the Lynx a couple of games ago.
Having won four of its last five first quarters, the Lynx are a great price to hold an advantage at the end of the first on Friday night. The next of our Lynx vs Mercury tips needs to look at this market.
Every Mercury starter has a negative net rating on the season, with many of them in double digits. They are consistently being outplayed by opposing starting fives, which should be the case once again here.
Lynx vs Mercury Bet 2: Minnesota Lynx to win the first quarter @ 8/11 at BetKing
Backing Lynx To Control The Game
If we’ve got the Lynx outplaying the Mercury in the first quarter, it makes sense to back them to be winning after two quarters. Minnesota has its second quarter issues this season, but they should have enough of a first quarter advantage to hold on to the break.
Then, it’s simply a case of whether the Lynx can win the game. They are favourite here and rightly so according to our Lynx vs Mercury predictions.
Phoenix has been the worst team in the league thus far, while the Lynx have been playing at a high level of late, and have done a good job of dispatching the league’s weaker teams.
At 11/10, there’s great value in backing the Lynx to be winning at half-time and full-time.
Lynx vs Mercury Bet 3: Minnesota Lynx to be winning at half-time and full-time @ 11/10 at BetKing
Lynx vs Mercury Odds
Odds correct at time of publishing and are subject to change.
Minnesota Lynx @ 4/7 at BetKing
Phoenix Mercury @ 5/4 at BetKing